World  

Trump victory a major global risk

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses a press conference following his victory in the Florida state primary on March 15, 2016 in West Palm Beach, Florida. The win in Florida for Trump sent rival Marco Rubio, the US senator from the Sunshine State, crashing out of the campaign. The 69-year-old billionaire also won in Illinois and North Carolina. / AFP / RHONA WISE

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump addresses a press conference following his victory in the Florida state primary on March 15, 2016 in West Palm Beach, Florida.<br />The win in Florida for Trump sent rival Marco Rubio, the US senator from the Sunshine State, crashing out of the campaign. The 69-year-old billionaire also won in Illinois and North Carolina. / AFP / RHONA WISE

The prospect of Donald Trump winning the US presidency represents a global threat on a par with jihadist militancy destabilising the world economy, according to British research group EIU.

In the latest version of its Global Risk assessment, the Economist Intelligence Unit ranked victory for the Republican front-runner at 12 on an index where the current top threat is a Chinese economic “hard landing” rated 20.

Justifying the threat level, the EIU highlighted the tycoon’s alienation towards China as well as his comments on Islamist extremism, saying a proposal to stop Muslims from entering the United States would be a “potent recruitment tool for jihadi groups”.

It also raised the spectre of a trade war under a Trump presidency and pointed out that his policies “tend to be prone to constant revision”.

“He has been exceptionally hostile towards free trade, including notably NAFTA (the North American Free Trade Agreement), and has repeatedly labelled China as a ‘currency manipulator’.” it said.

“He has also taken an exceptionally right-wing stance on the Middle East and jiadhi terrorism, including, among other things, advocating the killing of families of terrorists and launching a land incursion into Syria to wipe out IS (and acquire its oil).”

By comparison it gave a possible armed clash in the South China Sea an eight — the same as the threat posed by Britain leaving the European Union — and ranked an emerging market debt crisis at 16.

A Trump victory, it said, would at least scupper the Trans-Pacific Partnership between the US and 11 other American and Asian states signed in February, while “his hostile attitude to free trade, and alienation of Mexico and China in particular, could escalate rapidly into a trade war.”

“There are risks to this forecast, especially in the event of a terrorist attack on US soil or a sudden economic downturn,” it added.

However, the organisation said it did not expect Trump to defeat his most likely Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton, in an election and pointed out that Congress would likely block some of his more radical proposals if he won November’s election.

Rated at 12 alongside the prospect of a Trump presidency was the threat of Islamic State, which the EIU said risked ending a five-year bull run on US and European stock markets if terrorist attacks escalated.

The break-up of the eurozone following a Greek exit from the bloc was rated 15, while the prospect of a new “cold war” fuelled by Russian interventions in Ukraine and Syria was put at 16.



10 Comments
  • LJ

    In this era where America seems to be the world power, whoever emerges the president should be an individual that will not be on the offensive of a particular religion else we all can imagine the after effect.

  • amador kester

    Incidentally only the romans will determine the political fate of rome , i mean only americans can decide their presidency

    • Ralf

      True tlk

  • Gabriel

    Let Americans decide who they want to be their President and may they choose right.

    READ: “Safeguard Your Dreams From Scavengers”… http://www.obinnaonyenali.com/2016/03/safeguard-your-dream.html?m=1

  • Hyginus Nnadi

    If the Islamic jihads are regarded as extremist, then an extremist American president is best to nip their extremism in the bud.

    • Ralf

      True

  • Mazi JO

    You are not kidding! Even at this juncture in the Presidential Campaign, some blocks have drawn their battle positions Trump or who is elected. The saber-rattling has already started. Russia, North Korea and other incendiary spots in World are watching keenly.

  • vic

    WATCH OUT YOU AMERICANS, MR TRUMP IS A PROPHET OF DOOM FOR AMERICA AND THE WORLD.

    HE WILL SURELY BRING USA INTO ITS BIGGEST STRIFE AND MAY BE NUCLEAR HOLOCAUST. THE MAN IS AN INSANE CLOWN.

    REJECT HIM EN MASS ON POLLING DAY OR SEE YOUR END COMING SOONER THAN LATER IN THE PRISON CAMPS NOW LOCATED OUTSIDE EVERY AMERICAN CITY WITH MISERABLE CHAINED CELLS AND MILLIONS OF VERY LARGE COFFINS ( WHICH CAN ACCOMMODATE UP TO TEN BODIES) ALREADY READY FOR THE MASS BURIAL OF THE HOMELESS, THE STREET DEMONSTRATORS, THE IMMIGRANTS, THE UNWANTED, THE STREET BEGGARS, THE MOSLEMS, ETC, ETC,ETC, YOU NAME IT, WITH A SILICON CHIP IMPLANTED INTO YOUR HANDS WHILE IN THE CELLS TO TRACE THEM WHEREVER THEY MAY HAPPEN TO ESCAPE.

    VOTING FOR TRUMP WILL SURELY BE YOUR DEATH WARRANT. YOU ARE ALL TIMELY WARNED.

    • Ralf

      We love Trump..We will vote him in,come wht may..
      Trump means d death of mslm radicals,if u belong to them,then your death is imminent. ..USA USA USA! …

  • Ralf

    Donald Trump all d way..Birmingham UK is now Birminislam. ..Europe is d unofficial extension of the Middle East,ruled now by Turkish sultan Erdogan. ..All European leaders goes to Turkish sultan Erdogan now,begging for his help,cos he flooded Europe wit mslms,n threatning to bring in more,if he is not paid more billions in Euro.. No,our USA can never be like abt to -be islamized Europe…Every European family will hv at least one or more islmc family member/s or extended family member/s, 15 yrs frm now…Fact.(Study).. Especially in Germany,Austria,UK,France,some Scandinavian countries etc….

    Trump for USA president…Join d movement now

Related